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2026 Midterms: House Turnout

Starts:Feb 20, 2026, 5:41 PMEnds:Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate90.8% (1,363)
Total volume
$30.2K
Largest spread
7.4%
Outcomes
12
Platforms
2
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

90 to 95MILLION
0.9%Best · Polymarket$1.9K
95 to 100MILLION
2.8%Best · Polymarket$380
100 to 105MILLION
5.0%Best · Polymarket US$1.2K
105 to 110MILLION
8.0%Best · Polymarket$941
110 to 115MILLION
16.5%Best · Polymarket$4.9K
115 to 120MILLIONFavorite
23.5%Best · Polymarket$5.4K
120 to 125MILLION
16.0%Best · Polymarket$9.4K
125 to 130MILLION
16.0%Best · Polymarket US$3.5K
Less Than 90 Million
4.0%Best · Polymarket US
130M or aboveWidest spread 7.4%
4.6%Best · Polymarket$1.5K

Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Similar events we kept separate — a different date, bracket, or resolution window. Compare them across platforms.

Outcomes115 to 119.99 million 22.5% · 125 million and above 18.5% · 110 to 114.99 million 17.5%Volume$92.2KPlatforms Kalshi