2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elena Rybakina Winner | 96.0%Gemini | $1.8M | — | No liquidity99.6% | — | No liquidity99.0% | |||
Iga Swiatek Eliminated | 2.0%Kalshi | $432.4K | — | Eliminated | Eliminated— | — | Eliminated$138.2K | Eliminated | |
Marta Kostyuk Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $222.8K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$82.3K | Eliminated | |
Iva Jovic Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $350.6K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$98.9K | Eliminated | |
Maja Chwalinska Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$1.0K | Eliminated | |
Maria Sakkari Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $55.7K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$44.0K | Eliminated | |
Aryna Sabalenka | 0.1%Polymarket | $1.8M | — | — | |||||
Coco Gauff Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.5M | — | Eliminated | Eliminated— | — | Eliminated$356.8K | Eliminated | |
Mirra Andreeva Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $647.5K | — | Eliminated | Eliminated— | — | Eliminated$301.3K | Eliminated | |
Amanda Anisimova Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $336.2K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$160.7K | Eliminated | |
Naomi Osaka Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $557.8K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$130.7K | Eliminated | |
Qinwen Zheng Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.1M | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$710.5K | Eliminated | |
Madison Keys Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $172.6K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$92.9K | Eliminated | |
Jessica Pegula Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $810.5K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$343.1K | Eliminated | |
Barbora Krejcikova Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $591.0K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$574.9K | Eliminated | |
Karolina Muchova Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $325.9K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$128.6K | Eliminated | |
Victoria Mboko Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $62.8K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$54.9K | Eliminated | |
Emma Navarro Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $774.7K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$182.3K | Eliminated | |
Linda Noskova Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $412.8K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$170.7K | Eliminated | |
Jasmine Paolini Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $100.0K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$86.3K | Eliminated | |
Paula Badosa Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $98.4K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$60.7K | Eliminated | |
Diana Shnaider Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $127.1K | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$126.8K | — | |
Jelena Ostapenko Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $54.2K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$51.8K | Eliminated | |
Elina Svitolina Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $191.9K | — | Eliminated | — | — | Eliminated$103.4K | Eliminated | |
Anastasia Potapova Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $585.7K | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$539.0K | — | |
Alexandra Eala Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $986.1K | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$400.4K | Eliminated | |
Leylah Fernandez Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $62.0K | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$47.5K | — | |
Taylor Townsend Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $141.7K | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$94.5K | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market resolves to whichever player wins the 2026 US Open Women's Singles tournament, scheduled for August 23 to September 13, 2026. Each listed player is a separate outcome, and if a player is eliminated the corresponding line resolves No. Polymarket carries most of the volume at roughly $6.9 million, with Kalshi adding around $634,000 and smaller books on Gemini, Limitless, and Polymarket US. Aryna Sabalenka is the consensus favourite at 23.5%, ahead of Iga Swiatek at 18.0% and Coco Gauff at 13.5%. Behind that top trio, Naomi Osaka sits at 8.5%, Mirra Andreeva at 6.5%, and Jessica Pegula at 6.0%, with the rest of the field priced at 4.5% or lower. The gap between Sabalenka and Swiatek is about 5.5 points, signalling a clear but not overwhelming favourite in a field with several credible contenders. Cross-platform pricing is broadly aligned at the top, but Polymarket consistently prints the cheapest lines on the leaders: Sabalenka at 20.5% versus 24.0% on Polymarket US, Swiatek at 16.0% versus 19.0% on Gemini, and Gauff at 11.3% versus 14.0% on Gemini. The takeaway: books agree on the pecking order, but Polymarket prices the favourites noticeably lower than Gemini and Polymarket US.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.