2028 Democratic VP nominee — In 2028
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gretchen Whitmer FavoriteWidest spread 6.7% | 6.3%Kalshi | $220.0K | — | — | — | |||
Elissa Slotkin | 5.9%Polymarket | $135.4K | — | — | — | |||
Pete Buttigieg | 5.2%Polymarket | $149.0K | — | — | — | |||
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 6.7%Kalshi | $299.8K | — | — | — | |||
Andy Beshear | 5.3%Polymarket | $150.1K | — | — | — | |||
Wes Moore | 3.4%Polymarket | $75.3K | — | — | — | |||
Mark Kelly | 3.4%Polymarket | $95.3K | — | — | — | |||
Jon Ossoff | 4.5%Polymarket | $150.0K | — | — | — | |||
Raphael Warnock | 3.4%Kalshi | $89.6K | — | — | — | |||
Zohran Mamdani | 1.0%Kalshi | $103.7K | — | — | — | — | ||
James Talarico | 4.5%Polymarket | $165.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
LeBron James | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | ||
Phil Murphy | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Gavin Newsom | 2.6%Polymarket | $159.4K | — | — | — | |||
Josh Shapiro | 3.4%Kalshi | $98.4K | — | — | — | |||
Michelle Obama | 1.0%Polymarket | $118.1K | — | — | — | |||
Kim Kardashian | 3.1%Polymarket | $2.6K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ruben Gallego | 1.1%Kalshi | $58.3K | — | — | — | |||
Kamala Harris | 1.3%Polymarket | $135.5K | — | — | — | |||
Hunter Biden | 0.5%Polymarket | $125.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Hillary Clinton | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Mark Cuban | 0.3%Polymarket | $57.1K | — | — | — | |||
John Fetterman | 0.2%Kalshi | $39.6K | — | — | — | |||
Barack Obama | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.7K | — | — | — | — | ||
Jared Polis | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | ||
J.B. Pritzker | 0.8%Kalshi | $79.9K | — | — | — | |||
Roy Cooper | 0.9%Kalshi | $68.3K | — | — | — | |||
Ro Khanna | 2.0%Kalshi | $108.3K | — | — | — | — | ||
Tim Walz | 0.3%Kalshi | $69.2K | — | — | — | |||
Tony Evers | 0.3%Kalshi | $13.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Rahm Emanuel | 1.0%Kalshi | $32.7K | — | — | — | — | ||
Jon Stewart | 1.0%Kalshi | $29.2K | — | — | — | — | ||
Cory Booker | 1.0%Kalshi | $13.6K | — | — | — | — | ||
Chris Murphy | 0.5%Polymarket | $21.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Jamie Dimon | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Amy Klobuchar | 1.0%Kalshi | $44.8K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Bernie Sanders | 1.0%Kalshi | $13.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Dwayne Johnson | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Graham Platner | 1.0%Kalshi | $74.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gina Raimondo | 1.0%Kalshi | $42.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Andrew Yang | 1.0%Kalshi | $14.3K | — | — | — | — | ||
Elizabeth Warren | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jasmine Crockett | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Beto O'Rourke | 0.8%Polymarket | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | ||
Liz Cheney | 0.8%Polymarket | $3.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Stephen A. Smith | 0.5%Polymarket | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | ||
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market asks who will formally accept the Democratic Party's nomination for Vice President in the 2028 presidential election. It is listed on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini, with Kalshi carrying the bulk of activity at roughly $2.74M in volume against Polymarket's $87K and Gemini's $39K. Each outcome pays out to the individual first nominated and accepting; a later replacement before election day would not change resolution. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer is the current favourite at a 12.5% consensus probability, though that lead is soft: Gemini prices her at 13.0%, Kalshi at 9.7%, and Polymarket at just 6.2%, a 6.55-point spread. Behind her, Elissa Slotkin sits at 8.5% consensus, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7.3%, and Pete Buttigieg at 6.4%, with Andy Beshear, Wes Moore and Mark Kelly clustered near 6.0%. The field is unusually flat, with no candidate above 13% on any single venue. Cross-platform gaps are notable for Slotkin (Gemini 10.0% vs Polymarket 3.3%), Mark Kelly (Gemini 8.0% vs Polymarket 2.9%), and Whitmer herself. Overall, the market signals a wide-open Democratic VP field with Whitmer only marginally ahead and material disagreement between Polymarket and Gemini on the top tier.
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