2028 Republican VP nominee — In 2028
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marco Rubio Favorite | 29.0%Kalshi | $318.6K | — | — | — | |||
J.D. Vance Widest spread 6.0% | 5.5%Polymarket | $212.9K | — | — | — | |||
Glenn Youngkin | 1.5%Polymarket | $136.6K | — | — | — | |||
Marjorie Taylor Greene | 6.3%Polymarket | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 2.6%Polymarket | $62.4K | — | — | — | |||
Thomas Massie | 5.1%Polymarket | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Donald Trump Jr. | 3.2%Polymarket | $74.9K | — | — | — | |||
Donald Trump | 1.8%Polymarket | $162.0K | — | — | — | |||
Erika Kirk | 1.0%Polymarket | $148.7K | — | — | — | |||
Byron Donalds | 1.1%Polymarket | $32.3K | — | — | — | |||
Katie Britt | 0.9%Polymarket | $41.8K | — | — | — | |||
Rand Paul | 3.0%Polymarket | $709 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tucker Carlson | 2.7%Polymarket | $866 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tim Scott | 3.0%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ron DeSantis | 0.9%Polymarket | $49.8K | — | — | — | |||
Elise Stefanik | 2.0%Polymarket | $44.1K | — | — | — | |||
Josh Hawley | 1.7%Kalshi | $48.1K | — | — | — | |||
Nikki Haley | 1.6%Kalshi | $46.6K | — | — | — | |||
Ted Cruz | 1.6%Kalshi | $23.8K | — | — | — | |||
Kristi Noem | 2.5%Polymarket | $589 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Joe Kent | 2.4%Polymarket | $765 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ivanka Trump | 2.3%Polymarket | $576 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Vivek Ramaswamy | 1.7%Polymarket | $738 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tulsi Gabbard | 1.4%Polymarket | $48.6K | — | — | — | |||
Brian Kemp | 0.9%Kalshi | $20.6K | — | — | — | |||
Greg Abbott | 0.7%Polymarket | $9.0K | — | — | — | |||
John Thune | 0.7%Kalshi | $6.2K | — | — | — | |||
Matt Gaetz | 0.4%Kalshi | $9.6K | — | — | — | |||
Elon Musk | 0.2%Kalshi | $45.8K | — | — | — | |||
Eric Trump | 1.4%Polymarket | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market asks who will accept the Republican Party's nomination for Vice President in the 2028 presidential election cycle. It is listed on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini, with Kalshi carrying the bulk of the volume at roughly $1.34M of the $1.38M total. Each outcome resolves to a single named individual who formally accepts the nomination. The consensus favourite is Georgia Governor Brian Kemp at 51.0%, well ahead of Marco Rubio at 27.5% and Josh Hawley at 14.0%. However, Kemp's headline number masks a striking cross-platform disagreement: Kalshi prices him at just 1.2%, while Polymarket has him at 5.0% and Gemini at 3.0%. That is roughly a 49.95-point spread on the nominal frontrunner, suggesting the consensus figure is skewed by how the aggregation is computed rather than reflecting agreement between venues. Rubio, by contrast, is priced tightly across all three platforms (Kalshi 28.0%, Gemini 29.0%, Polymarket 31.5%), a spread of only 4 points. Beyond the top tier, names like Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, Donald Trump and J.D. Vance cluster in the 6–8% range. The takeaway: platforms broadly agree on Rubio as a serious contender but sharply disagree on Kemp, making the true frontrunner ambiguous depending on which venue you read.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.