2030 Brazil Presidential election winner? (Party) — in 2030
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PT Favorite | 36.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Republicanos | 26.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
PL | 25.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
PSB | 11.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
PSD | 9.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
NOVO | 4.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Missão | 2.0%Kalshi | $762 | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A party wins if the candidate elected President of Brazil is registered with the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) under that party's name, including any later name of that party. If a listed party merges into another listed party, only the party the winner is registered under resolves to Yes. A candidate who runs under another party's name, even if backed by the party, does not count for it. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
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