Settled
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — On Jul 8, 2026
Starts:Jul 7, 2026, 7:30 PMEnds:Jul 8, 2026, 7:30 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$32.6K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
9
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.95% or above Winner | Won | $14.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4% or above Winner | Won | $8.7K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.05% or above Winner | Won | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.1% or above Winner | Won | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.15% or above Winner | Won | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.2% or above Winner | Won | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.3% or above | Lost | $761 | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.25% or above | Lost | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.35% or above | Lost | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — |
3.95% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.05% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.1% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.15% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.2% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.3% or above
LostResult
4.25% or above
LostResult
4.35% or above
LostResult
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.94% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.
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