Settled
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — On Jul 8, 2026
Starts:Jul 7, 2026, 7:30 PMEnds:Jul 8, 2026, 7:30 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$22.3K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
9
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.05% or above Winner | Won | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.15% or above Winner | Won | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.2% or above Winner | Won | $3.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.25% or above Winner | Won | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4% or above Winner | Won | $9.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.1% or above Winner | Won | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.3% or above Winner | Won | $545 | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.35% or above | Lost | $357 | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.4% or above | Lost | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | — |
4.05% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.15% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.2% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.25% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.1% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.3% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.35% or above
LostResult
4.4% or above
LostResult
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.
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