Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 260K Favorite | 85.0%Kalshi | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity98.0% | |
Above 270K | 79.0%Kalshi | $450 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 290K | 66.0%Kalshi | $995 | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity9.0% | |
Above 300K | 58.0%Kalshi | $636 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 310K | 53.0%Kalshi | $576 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
320K or above | 6.7%Polymarket | $747 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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