Argentina vs Egypt
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Argentina Winner | 72.5%Azuro | $34.7M | — | — | — | ||||
Marwan Attia | 99.0%Kalshi | $12.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yasser El Hanafi | 99.0%Kalshi | $10.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cristian Romero | 99.0%Kalshi | $11.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Haissem Hassan | 99.0%Kalshi | $18.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf | 99.0%Kalshi | $13.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yasser El Hanafi: 1+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $311.9K | — | — | No liquidity5.0% | — | — | — | — |
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $127.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cristian Romero: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $76.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Haissem Hassan: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $73.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Marwan Attia: 1+ | 4.0%Kalshi | $40.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodrigo De Paul: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $16.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hamdi Fathi: 1+ | 30.0%Kalshi | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Draw Eliminated | 0.7%Limitless | $16.7M | — | — | Eliminated$6.9M | — | |||
Nahuel Molina | 14.0%Kalshi | $521 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Egypt Eliminated | 0.1%Limitless | $23.7M | — | — | Eliminated$13.3M | — | |||
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ | 4.0%Kalshi | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leandro Paredes | 4.0%Kalshi | $643 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nahuel Molina: 2+ | 3.0%Kalshi | $455 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $47.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodrigo De Paul: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $42.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Karim Hafez: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $20.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 6.5 goals scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $47.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Goal Diff Reg Time: Argentina wins by more than 3.5 goals | 1.0%Kalshi | $325.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rodrigo De Paul | 1.0%Kalshi | $17.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Tagliafico | 1.0%Kalshi | $398 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eman Ashour | 1.0%Kalshi | $14.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lisandro Martinez | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Karim Hafez | 1.0%Kalshi | $584 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leandro Paredes: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $34.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicolas Tagliafico: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $11.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nahuel Molina: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $11.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lisandro Martinez: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $51.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eman Ashour: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $161.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leandro Paredes: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $10.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Egypt over 3.5 goals | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nico Gonzalez: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gonzalo Montiel: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Argentina over 4.5 goals | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This event is a Round of 16 World Cup match currently in play, and Egypt has taken a shock 1-0 lead. Let me write the description. This is a Round of 16 clash at the 2026 FIFA World Cup between defending champions Argentina and Egypt, played at Atlanta Stadium with kickoff at noon ET. The winner advances to a quarterfinal against Switzerland or Colombia. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless and Azuro-adjacent books, dozens of side markets are listed — moneyline, spread, corners, first goalscorer, exact score, halftime result, player props on Messi, Salah, Mac Allister and others — with total volume north of $136M and the moneyline alone drawing roughly $9.6M on Kalshi. The headline "Argentina to advance" line sits at 71.0% on Kalshi (69.0% direct), while the regulation moneyline has Argentina at just 49.0% consensus — 48.0% on Polymarket, 47.0% on Kalshi and 46.6% on Limitless — with the draw at 32.0% and Egypt at 23.5%. That combination signals a market pricing in extra-time risk rather than a comfortable Argentine win. Cross-platform spreads are tight, peaking around 3.5 points on the Egypt regulation line and 2.5 points on Argentina, so pricing is broadly aligned. The reason the regulation favourite has narrowed is unfolding live: Egypt lead 1-0 after a 15th-minute header from Yasser Ibrahim off a Marawan Attia cross, and Argentina is trailing for the first time this World Cup. Messi has also missed a penalty, his second consecutive missed World Cup spot-kick outside of shootouts. Argentina needed a late own goal to beat Cabo Verde 3-2 in the Round of 32, while Egypt reached this stage for the first time by beating Australia on penalties. Across all four platforms, the takeaway is a market that still trusts Argentina to progress but no longer trusts them to win in 90 minutes.
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