Aston Villa vs Arsenal

This event covers the Premier League match between Aston Villa and Arsenal, scheduled for August 31, 2026, and it is listed across Polymarket, Kalshi, Azuro-adjacent venues, Limitless and Gemini. The core moneyline market asks who wins in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a draw resolving separately. Alongside that headline market, the platforms host a wide array of secondary lines: total goals, spread, corners, first-half result, exact score, first team to score, and various player props. Arsenal are the favourite on the match winner at a consensus 64.5%, with Aston Villa priced around 14.6% on Limitless and 14.5% on the aggregated three-way (Polymarket, Gemini and Kalshi), and the draw at roughly 22.5%. That gap implies the market views Arsenal as comfortably in control, though far from certain. On totals, Over 2.5 goals sits near 52.5% (Kalshi 53.0%, Polymarket 52.5%, Gemini 53.0%), and Arsenal to score at least once is priced around 86.5% on Kalshi. Cross-platform pricing is tight: Arsenal to win ranges from 63.5% on Polymarket to 65.0% on Kalshi and Gemini, a spread of about 1 point, while the draw varies only between 22.0% and 22.7%. The takeaway: platforms are closely aligned on an Arsenal-favoured but not dominant match.