Atlanta vs Los Angeles D

This MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and the Los Angeles Dodgers is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 4:00 PM ET, and Kalshi labels it "Game 1." The main market has two outcomes: "Los Angeles Dodgers" pays out if the Dodgers win, and "Atlanta Braves" pays out if the Braves win. Polymarket's rules state that a postponed game stays open until it is played, and a cancellation with no make-up game or a tie resolves 50-50. Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game is cancelled or moved more than two days out. Total volume stands at roughly $1.84 million, and Kalshi accounts for the largest share at about $723,365. The Dodgers are clear favourites at a 67.5% consensus, against 32.5% for the Braves. That 35-point gap means the markets see Los Angeles as roughly a two-to-one favourite. Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini all show midpoints of 67.5% for the Dodgers and 32.5% for the Braves. Novig sits slightly apart at 67.3% and 32.8%. Novig also offers the cheapest entry on both sides, at 67.5% for the Dodgers and 33.0% for the Braves. Azuro is excluded from the consensus because it has no liquidity, and Gemini's listing shows no liquidity despite its quoted midpoint. The cross-platform spread is only 0.25 points per outcome, so the pricing is tightly aligned and leaves no meaningful divergence between the major venues.