Austin vs Seattle

This closed event covered the July 22, 2026 MLS regular-season match between Austin FC and the Seattle Sounders, listed across Polymarket, Kalshi, Azuro and Limitless with a combined traded volume of roughly $2.72 million. The listings spanned a wide slate of derivative markets — moneyline, first-half winner, spreads, team totals, exact score, first team to score and various over/under lines — with Kalshi's main moneyline market ("Austin vs Seattle") drawing the bulk of the flow at about $1.88 million in volume. Because the event is resolved, prices have collapsed to their settlement values. Austin FC sits at 99.9% on the moneyline and is flagged as the favourite, while Seattle at 1.0% on Kalshi and Draw at 1.0% on Kalshi (versus 0.0% on Polymarket) confirm the home win. Consistent with that outcome, Kalshi's "Austin wins by more than 1.5 goals" resolved-in line reads 98.0%, "Over 1.5 goals" 99.0%, and "Over 5.5 goals" 91.0%, pointing to a high-scoring Austin victory. The main cross-platform quirk is Azuro, where several legs (e.g. Draw at 28.5%, various handicap and totals lines) still show pre-match style prices rather than settled values, creating the appearance of a spread against Polymarket and Kalshi where none economically exists. Overall, Polymarket and Kalshi are aligned on the resolved outcome; Azuro's stale-looking quotes are the only meaningful discrepancy.