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Bank of Utah Championship Winner — 2026 Bank of Utah Championship

Starts:Sep 28, 2026, 5:23 PMEnds:Oct 5, 2026, 12:07 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Austin SmothermanSettled Oct 5, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (142,143)
Total volume
$29.5M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
127
Platforms
2
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Austin SmothermanWinner
99.9%Best · Kalshi$722.9K
NovigNo liquidity91.5%

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

The 2026 Bank of Utah Championship winner market asks prediction-market traders to pick which PGA Tour golfer will claim the title, with each contract settling based on whether that player wins the tournament outright. Trading is concentrated on Kalshi, which carries the vast majority of the event's $25.1 million in volume and $21.7 million in liquidity, while Novig offers a much thinner, wide-spread book for a handful of names. Doug Ghim currently sits atop the leaderboard as the modest favourite at a 20.5% consensus probability, narrowly ahead of Austin Smotherman at 18.5% and Kevin Streelman at 13.5%. Benjamin James and Ben James each sit at 12.5% (likely reflecting the same or related player across listings), rounding out a tightly bunched top tier — a sign that no single competitor has separated from the field, consistent with the unpredictable, wide-open nature of a weekly PGA event field. Beyond the top five, probabilities drop off sharply, with Johnny Keefer and Steven Fisk near 6%, and the rest of the roughly 100-plus player field trading well under 5%, many below 1%. Cross-platform divergence is generally small among the mid-tier names where both venues post real markets — for example, Stephan Jaeger shows roughly a 3-point gap (Kalshi 1.8% vs. Novig 4.8%), and Neal Shipley a similar spread the other way. These gaps mostly reflect Novig's thinner liquidity rather than conflicting information. Overall, the market reflects a genuinely open field with Ghim as a thin favourite, and pricing is broadly consistent across platforms given Kalshi's dominant liquidity.

Updated Oct 3, 2026, 9:32 PMclaude-sonnet-5cross-platform favourite flipped

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SportsGolf

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