Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 — On Jan 1, 2027 at 12am EST
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25,000 to 29,999.99 | 0.6%Kalshi | $916.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
30,000 to 34,999.99 | 0.6%Kalshi | $1.2M | — | — | — | — | ||
40,000 to 44,999.99 | 1.9%Kalshi | $2.0M | — | — | — | — | ||
45,000 to 49,999.99 Widest spread 2.1% | 1.5%Kalshi | $2.8M | — | — | — | — | ||
50,000 to 54,999.99 | 1.9%Kalshi | $2.7M | — | — | — | — | ||
55,000 to 59,999.99 | 3.4%Kalshi | $2.5M | — | — | — | — | ||
60,000 to 64,999.99 | 5.4%Kalshi | $2.6M | — | — | — | — | ||
65,000 to 69,999.99 | 9.0%Polymarket US | $2.7M | — | — | — | — | ||
70,000 to 74,999.99 | 14.0%Polymarket US | $2.6M | — | — | — | — | ||
75,000 to 79,999.99 Favorite | 16.7%Kalshi | $3.5M | — | — | — | — | ||
80,000 to 84,999.99 | 12.7%Kalshi | $3.4M | — | — | — | — | ||
85,000 to 89,999.99 | 9.3%Kalshi | $2.5M | — | — | — | — | ||
90,000 to 94,999.99 | 9.0%Polymarket US | $1.6M | — | — | — | — | ||
95,000 to 99,999.99 | 4.0%Polymarket US | $1.0M | — | — | — | — | ||
100,000 to 104,999.99 | 2.7%Kalshi | $1.1M | — | — | — | — | ||
105,000 to 109,999.99 | 1.3%Kalshi | $809.6K | — | — | — | — | ||
110,000 to 114,999.99 | 0.9%Kalshi | $773.3K | — | — | — | — | ||
115,000 to 119,999.99 | 0.6%Kalshi | $671.6K | — | — | — | — | ||
150,000 or above | 0.6%Kalshi | $2.3M | — | — | — | — | ||
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market asks where Bitcoin's price will land at the very start of 2027, with each bucket representing a $5,000-wide price band (plus open-ended tails below $20,000 and above $150,000). Kalshi lists the full spread of buckets with meaningful volume, while Polymarket US shows the same structure but currently carries no trading volume or liquidity, making Kalshi the effective price-discovery venue. Across platforms, the $75,000–$79,999.99 band is the narrow favourite at a 15.8% consensus probability, tied with the $80,000–$84,999.99 band, also at 15.8%. The next-most-likely outcome, $70,000–$74,999.99, sits close behind at 13.7%, meaning the three leading bands collectively capture roughly 45% of implied probability and point to a market that sees Bitcoin most plausibly finishing the year somewhere in the $70,000–$85,000 range rather than at new highs. Cross-platform spreads are modest for the top contenders — about 2.6–3.4 points between Kalshi and Polymarket US pricing on the leading bands — but widen further out in the distribution, such as the 3.55-point gap on the $110,000–$114,999.99 bucket, where Polymarket US prices meaningfully richer odds than Kalshi. This pattern, with Polymarket US consistently showing higher probabilities on upside tail outcomes, suggests thinner liquidity there is producing more optimistic pricing rather than reflecting a genuine divergence in market view. The current clustering around the mid-$70,000s to mid-$80,000s is consistent with recent spot trading, where Bitcoin has been changing hands near $80,221 as of the morning of November 5, 2026, roughly $23,661 below where it stood a year earlier. Overall, the market reflects a cautious consensus that Bitcoin ends 2026 well off its highs, clustered in the $70,000–$85,000 band, with no single platform showing a dominant or sharply diverging favourite.
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