Bojovic vs Inisan

This market covered the first-round tennis match between Jana Bojovic and Eleejah Inisan at the ITF W15 Kursumlijska Banja tournament, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026. On both Kalshi and Polymarket, contracts resolved based on which player advanced, with cancellation and walkover clauses defaulting to a 50-50 split. Total volume across platforms reached roughly $26,900, with the bulk of activity on Kalshi. Eleejah Inisan was the overwhelming favourite. Kalshi priced her advancement at 99.0%, while Polymarket sat marginally tighter at 99.9%, producing a consensus around 99.0% and leaving Jana Bojovic at just 1.0% on Kalshi and 0.1% on Polymarket. Auxiliary markets on totals and match outcome followed the same lopsided pattern, with several Polymarket lines settling at the 99%+ or sub-1% extremes consistent with a heavy pre-match favourite. The cross-platform spread was minimal: less than one percentage point separated Kalshi and Polymarket on the headline outcome, with Polymarket slightly more confident in Inisan. The takeaway is that both venues aligned almost perfectly on Inisan as a near-certain winner, with only trivial pricing differences on the long-shot side.