Boston vs New York M

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Mets, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Azuro all list a moneyline on the outcome, with additional Polymarket sub-markets covering totals (over/under) and other game props. Standard resolution rules apply on each venue: the market resolves to the winning side once the game is complete, with postponement provisions varying slightly by platform. The pricing points to a modest edge for the home side. On the primary moneyline, the Mets are the favourite: Kalshi has New York at 59.0%, while Polymarket shows the Mets at 56.5% and Azuro at 56.2%. The Red Sox sit as the underdog at 43.5% on Polymarket and 43.7% on Azuro, with a corresponding 43.0% on Kalshi. Polymarket's game total leans Under at 54.5% versus Over at 45.5%. Azuro also carries a 13.3% draw line, though ties are effectively excluded under MLB rules. Across the three venues the moneyline agrees closely, with only about a 2.8-point gap between Kalshi's 59.0% Mets and Azuro's 56.2%, framing New York as a slight but consistent favourite.