Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) — On Oct 4, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Renan Santos Winner | 98.0%Kalshi | $30.2K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Romeu Zema | 24.0%Kalshi | $694 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Augusto Cury | 4.0%Kalshi | $16.1K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Pablo Marçal | 3.0%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Ronaldo Caiado | 1.0%Kalshi | $27.4K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Samara | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.8K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Wilson Grassi | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Clariana Barão | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Edmilson Costa | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.5K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Flávio Bolsonaro | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Hertz Dias | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.2K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Rui Costa Pimenta | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.6K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Lula | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Veterinário Wilson Grassi | — | $182 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Zema | — | $681 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For a two-round system where this event specifies the first round: rank is based on certified first-round vote count or percentage In case of an exact tie for fourth place, markets resolve proportionally, $1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down. A candidate not listed on this event who finishes fourth makes every named market resolve NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve NO.
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