Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round) — On Oct 4, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ronaldo Caiado Winner | 34.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Renan Santos | 21.0%Kalshi | $16.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Romeu Zema | 4.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Augusto Cury | 1.0%Kalshi | $19.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Clariana Barão | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pablo Marçal | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Edmilson Costa | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hertz Dias | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rui Costa Pimenta | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Samara | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Flávio Bolsonaro | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wilson Grassi | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For a two-round system where this event specifies the first round: rank is based on certified first-round vote count or percentage In case of an exact tie for fifth place, markets resolve proportionally, $1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down. A candidate not listed on this event who finishes fifth makes every named market resolve NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve NO.
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