Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clariana Barao | — | $375 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Edmilson Costa | — | $453 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Escritor Augusto Cury | — | $453 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Flavio Bolsonaro Winner | — | $15.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hertz Dias | — | $373 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lula | — | $10.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pablo Marçal | — | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Renan Santos | — | $747 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ronaldo Caiado | — | $639 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rui Costa Pimenta | — | $431 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Samara | — | $433 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Veterinário Wilson Grassi | — | $567 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Zema | — | $373 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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