Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tarcisio de Freitas | — | $16.8K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | |
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 4.0%Kalshi | $70.2K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Jair Bolsonaro | — | $15.8K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | |
Fernando Haddad | — | $23.2K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | |
Michelle Bolsonaro | 3.0%Kalshi | $21.0K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Eduardo Bolsonaro | — | $46.3K | — | — | No liquidity6.0% | — | — | — | |
Ratinho Júnior | — | $104.2K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | |
Renan Santos | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.1M | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Flávio Bolsonaro | 3.0%Kalshi | $164.6K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Ronaldo Caiado | 6.0%Kalshi | $415.2K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Romeu Zema | 2.0%Kalshi | $141.4K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Camilo Santana | — | $13.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Geraldo Alckmin | — | $11.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Aldo Rebelo | — | $9.9K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | |
Eduardo Leite | — | $9.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tereza Cristina | — | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Helder Barbalho | — | $3.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Augusto Cury Winner | 96.0%Kalshi | $590.7K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
Pablo Marçal | — | $69.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ciro Gomes No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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