Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — Vote Percent - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At least 45% Favorite | 96.0%Kalshi | $15.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 46% | 86.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 47% | 78.0%Kalshi | $4.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 48% | 58.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 49% | 35.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 50% | 17.0%Kalshi | $580 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
At least 52% | 4.0%Kalshi | $500 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
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