Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — On Oct 25, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tocantins Favorite | 97.0%Kalshi | $9.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Minas Gerais | 92.0%Kalshi | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Amapá | 85.0%Kalshi | $5.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Amazonas | 40.0%Kalshi | $892 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pará | 19.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alagoas | 2.0%Kalshi | $775 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Each market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.
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