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Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad? — On Oct 25, 2026

Starts:Oct 5, 2026, 9:00 PMEnds:Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$11.9K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaFavorite
70.0%Best · Kalshi$7.5K
Flávio Bolsonaro
31.0%Best · Kalshi$4.5K

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO. The Exterior zone is the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) results unit for votes cast by Brazilian voters outside Brazil; ranking uses its runoff totals, regardless of the national result.

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