Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027 — 2027 season
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Between 43 and 48.99 million Favorite | 56.0%Kalshi | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Between 37 and 42.99 million | 35.0%Kalshi | $5.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Between 49 and 55 million | 12.0%Kalshi | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 55 million | 11.0%Kalshi | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Between 29 and 36.99 million | 7.0%Kalshi | $269 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run. Only ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used. If ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, "projected total catch plus projected total escapement", will be used.
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