California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 680,000 Favorite | 98.0%Kalshi | $7.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 690,000 | 97.0%Kalshi | $11.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 710,000 | 25.0%Kalshi | $16.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 720,000 | 7.0%Kalshi | $65.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 730,000 | 4.0%Kalshi | $6.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 740,000 | 2.0%Kalshi | $52.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Underlying is the point-in-time total policies in force (PIF) reported by the California FAIR Plan Association as of September 30, 2026, including residential, commercial, and Businessowner’s Program policies. This is a policy inventory, not policies written during the year or new business. The market remains open past September 30 because the September 30 policy count is published later, typically in the following quarterly data release. Resolution uses the first official September 30, 2026 figure; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
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