BETCRYPTO
Ended

California Governor Primary margin of victory

Starts:May 4, 2026, 11:45 PMEnds:Jul 11, 2026, 12:40 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
AbandonedNo venue reported a result for this event, so it was closed without one. Paper positions were refunded at cost.
Politics favorite hit rate95.1% (1,796)
Total volume
$27.3K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
3
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Steve Hilton, 1+ pts
Steve Hilton, 3+ pts
Steve Hilton, 5+ pts

Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If Steve Hilton wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed. If Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

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