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California's 34th District margin of victory — In 2026

Starts:Sep 8, 2026, 6:37 PMEnds:Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$527
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
3
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Jimmy Gomez, 5+ ptsFavorite
14.0%Best · Kalshi$153
Jimmy Gomez, 10+ pts
12.0%Best · Kalshi$234
Jimmy Gomez, 15+ pts
6.6%Best · Kalshi$140

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jimmy Gomez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jimmy Gomez if Jimmy Gomez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jimmy Gomez loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jimmy Gomez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jimmy Gomez will be summed. If Jimmy Gomez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jimmy Gomez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jimmy Gomez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jimmy Gomez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

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