Caroline Werner vs Ilinca Amariei

This market covers the qualifying-round tennis match between Caroline Werner and Ilinca Amariei at the Iasi Open, listed on Polymarket and Azuro. The primary outcome resolves to the player who advances; per Polymarket's rules, retirements and defaults hand the win to the advancing player, while walkovers, cancellations, or ties beyond a seven-day delay resolve 50-50, with the WTA Tour as the reference source. Werner is the clear favourite on the moneyline, priced at 77.5% on Polymarket versus 84.8% on Azuro, for a consensus of 77.5%. Amariei sits at 22.5% on Polymarket. On the total games market, Under 2.5 is favoured at a 70.5% consensus (Polymarket 70.5%, Azuro 75.2%), against Over 2.5 at 29.5% (Polymarket) and 32.2% (Azuro). Liquidity is concentrated on Polymarket, which shows roughly $490 in volume and $27.6k in liquidity, while Azuro's book is quoted but effectively untraded. The notable spread is on Werner herself: Azuro implies her chances about 7 points higher than Polymarket, and a similar gap appears on the Under. Across both platforms, the pricing consistently favours Werner to advance in a low-games match.