Champions League Winner — 2026-27 Season
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Barcelona FavoriteWidest spread 1.5% | 26.0%Kalshi | $1.2M | — | — | — | — | |||
Bayern Munich | 15.0%Polymarket US | $260.7K | — | — | — | — | |||
Arsenal | 13.0%Polymarket US | $261.0K | — | — | — | — | |||
Paris Saint-Germain | 11.0%Polymarket US | $225.8K | — | — | — | — | |||
Real Madrid | 11.0%Polymarket US | $565.4K | — | — | — | — | |||
Manchester City | 5.0%Polymarket US | $169.3K | — | — | — | — | |||
Liverpool | 3.0%Polymarket US | $164.0K | — | — | — | — | |||
FC Internazionale Milano | 3.0%Polymarket US | $58.2K | — | — | — | — | |||
Manchester United | 2.0%Polymarket US | $142.7K | — | — | — | — | |||
Aston Villa | 2.0%Kalshi | $23.6K | — | — | — | — | |||
Borussia Dortmund | 2.0%Polymarket US | $56.0K | — | — | — | — | |||
Real Betis | 1.0%Kalshi | $40.1K | — | — | — | — | |||
Lille | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | |||
FC Porto | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | |||
Como | 1.0%Kalshi | $217.2K | — | — | — | — | |||
FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.0%Polymarket US | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Atlético Madrid | 2.0%Polymarket US | $128.1K | — | — | — | — | |||
VfB Stuttgart | 1.0%Kalshi | $99.1K | — | — | — | — | |||
FK Bodø/Glimt | 1.0%Kalshi | $11.3K | — | — | — | — | — | ||
AEK | 1.0%Kalshi | $565 | — | — | — | — | — | ||
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market asks who will lift the trophy in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, with the season running from June 2026 through the final in June 2027. Each outcome corresponds to a club winning the competition. The event is quoted primarily on Kalshi, which carries the bulk of activity at roughly $1.27M in volume, with additional listings on Gemini and Polymarket US. Barcelona sits as the consensus favourite at 20.5%, priced at 21.0% on Gemini and 20.0% on Kalshi (a separate "FC Barcelona" line on Polymarket US trades at 19.0%). Paris Saint-Germain follows at a 17.0% consensus, though the gap between its Polymarket US quote of 16.0% and Gemini's 19.0% is one of the wider spreads in the top tier. Real Madrid and Arsenal are tied at 14.5%, with Bayern Munich at 13.5% and Manchester City further back at 9.0%. Liverpool (7.5%) and Manchester United (6.5%) round out the notable English contenders, the latter carrying a 2.0-point spread between Kalshi's 5.0% and Polymarket US's 7.0%. Beyond the top eight, the field flattens quickly into a long tail of 1–3% longshots. Overall, the platforms broadly agree on the pecking order, with Barcelona narrowly ahead and PSG showing the largest pricing disagreement among favourites.
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