Chan vs Fakih

This closed market covered the quarterfinal singles match between Jo-Yee Chan and Kate Fakih at the 2026 W15 Rancho Santa Fe ITF Women's event, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026. Each side of the head-to-head resolves to the player who advances, with standard fallbacks for walkovers or cancellations. The event drew roughly $4.18 million in volume, concentrated almost entirely on Kalshi, with a much smaller Polymarket book and negligible activity on Azuro. Chan was the overwhelming favourite. On Kalshi she settled at 99.0%, while Polymarket priced her at 99.9% (and a related "Jo Yee Chan" line at 99.5%). Fakih traded correspondingly low, at 1.0% on Kalshi and 0.1% on Polymarket. The cross-platform spread between the two main venues was under one percentage point on the favourite, indicating tight agreement between the deepest liquidity sources. Azuro's automated market maker showed materially different numbers, quoting Chan around 28–49% and Fakih between roughly 59% and 79% across various lines, but with zero volume and zero liquidity those prices reflect an unbalanced pool rather than genuine market opinion. The cross-platform takeaway: Kalshi and Polymarket agreed decisively on Chan as a near-certain winner, while Azuro's stale quotes should be read as an artefact of empty books.