ChatGPT App Downloads in October — October 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above 35 Favorite | 98.0%Kalshi | $500 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 80 | 46.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 95 | 28.0%Kalshi | $391 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 100 | 19.0%Kalshi | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 105 | 17.0%Kalshi | $514 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 110 | 10.0%Kalshi | $722 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 115 | 5.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above 130 | 7.0%Kalshi | $894 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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