Chicago C vs St. Louis
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago Cubs Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $1.5M | — | — | — | — | No liquidity100.0% | — | |
Michael McGreevy: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $275 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ian Happ: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Michael Busch: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $6.7K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $862 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Michael Conforto: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Church: 1+ | 3.0%Kalshi | $710 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $906 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Masyn Winn: 1+ | 3.0%Kalshi | $779 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nico Hoerner: 1+ | 3.0%Kalshi | $5.5K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $245 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Ian Happ: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $364 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Lars Nootbaar: 2+ | 38.0%Kalshi | $316 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael Busch: 2+ | 27.0%Kalshi | $568 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael Conforto: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $226 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Nico Hoerner: 2+ | 46.0%Kalshi | $624 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pedro Ramirez: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $239 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Masyn Winn: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $207 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Seiya Suzuki: 3+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $183 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez: 3+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $197 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Michael Busch: 3+ | 6.0%Kalshi | $216 | — | — | No liquidity89.0% | — | — | — | — |
Chicago C wins by over 4.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $8.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chicago C wins by over 7.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $25.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chicago C wins by over 5.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $13.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chicago C wins by over 6.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $31.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lars Nootbaar: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $3.0K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $1.5K | — | — | No liquidity16.0% | — | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $964 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alec Burleson: 3+ | 10.0%Kalshi | $456 | — | — | No liquidity31.0% | — | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt: 3+ | 9.0%Kalshi | $397 | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Nico Hoerner: 4+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $432 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael Busch: 5+ | 9.0%Kalshi | $303 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ivan Herrera: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Carson Kelly: 1+ | 7.0%Kalshi | $3.8K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Nico Hoerner: 3+ | 7.0%Kalshi | $176 | — | — | No liquidity89.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $9.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lars Nootbaar: 3+ | 6.0%Kalshi | $279 | — | — | No liquidity33.0% | — | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera: 3+ | 5.0%Kalshi | $318 | — | — | No liquidity34.0% | — | — | — | — |
José Fermín: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $528 | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jimmy Crooks: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alec Burleson: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Seiya Suzuki: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $6.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alec Burleson: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $352 | — | — | No liquidity53.0% | — | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $909.1K | — | — | — | — | Eliminated$218.6K | — | |
Michael McGreevy: 3+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael McGreevy: 4+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael McGreevy: 5+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $509 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael McGreevy: 6+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $681 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michael McGreevy: 7+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $616 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 14.5 runs scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $18.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 15.5 runs scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $6.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Over 16.5 runs scored | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chicago C wins by over 9.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chicago C wins by over 8.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $18.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market covers Game 2 of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium, scheduled for July 28 at 7:45 PM ET. The core question is which team wins the full game, with Kalshi and Polymarket also offering a wide array of player props and totals — including strikeouts and outs recorded for starting pitchers Colin Rea (Cubs) and Michael McGreevy (Cardinals), and hit/run/RBI lines for several position players, most notably Alex Bregman. The Cubs are the clear favourite across both platforms. Kalshi prices Chicago at 67.0% to win, while Polymarket sits a touch lower at 65.0% — a slim 2-point spread that signals tight cross-platform consensus. St. Louis sits at 34.0% on Kalshi and 35.0% on Polymarket, leaving very little room between the two books. The Cubs' edge appears well-grounded in recent form: Chicago pounded out 14 hits in a 7-3 win in Game 1 of this series on Monday, with Alex Bregman and Nico Hoerner each homering and recording four hits, as the Cubs have won 26 of their last 38 games and hold a 5½-game lead as the first NL wild card. On the pitching side, Tuesday's matchup features Cardinals right-hander Michael McGreevy (4-8, 3.07 ERA) against Cubs right-hander Colin Rea (7-7, 4.85 ERA). The run-total markets lean heavily toward the over — Kalshi has over 3.5 runs at 99.0% — reflecting a high-scoring environment consistent with the series opener. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are in near-lockstep on the moneyline, making this one of the tighter cross-platform spreads in the dataset.
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