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Chicago C vs St. Louis

Starts:Jul 28, 2026, 11:45 PMEnds:Aug 4, 2026, 11:45 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Chicago CubsSettled Jul 29, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.2% (150,588)
Total volume
$3.5M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
99
Platforms
2
Markets
19

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Chicago CubsWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$1.5M
PolymarketNo liquidity100.0%
Michael McGreevy: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$275
Ian Happ: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$2.8K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Michael Busch: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$6.7K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
JJ Wetherholt: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$862
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Michael Conforto: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Nathan Church: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$710
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Pedro Ramirez: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$906
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Masyn Winn: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$779
Nico Hoerner: 1+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$5.5K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Seiya Suzuki: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$245
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Ian Happ: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$364
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Lars Nootbaar: 2+
38.0%Best · Kalshi$316
Michael Busch: 2+
27.0%Best · Kalshi$568
Michael Conforto: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$226
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Nico Hoerner: 2+
46.0%Best · Kalshi$624
Pedro Ramirez: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$239
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Masyn Winn: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$207
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Seiya Suzuki: 3+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$183
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Pedro Ramirez: 3+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$197
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Michael Busch: 3+
6.0%Best · Kalshi$216
KalshiNo liquidity89.0%
Chicago C wins by over 4.5 runs
99.0%Best · Kalshi$8.2K
Chicago C wins by over 7.5 runs
99.0%Best · Kalshi$25.8K
Chicago C wins by over 5.5 runs
99.0%Best · Kalshi$13.9K
Chicago C wins by over 6.5 runs
99.0%Best · Kalshi$31.2K
Lars Nootbaar: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$3.0K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Jordan Walker: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$1.5K
KalshiNo liquidity16.0%
JJ Wetherholt: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$964
Alec Burleson: 3+
10.0%Best · Kalshi$456
KalshiNo liquidity31.0%
JJ Wetherholt: 3+
9.0%Best · Kalshi$397
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Nico Hoerner: 4+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$432
Michael Busch: 5+
9.0%Best · Kalshi$303
Ivan Herrera: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.5K
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Carson Kelly: 1+
7.0%Best · Kalshi$3.8K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Nico Hoerner: 3+
7.0%Best · Kalshi$176
KalshiNo liquidity89.0%
Jordan Walker: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$9.0K
Lars Nootbaar: 3+
6.0%Best · Kalshi$279
KalshiNo liquidity33.0%
Ivan Herrera: 3+
5.0%Best · Kalshi$318
KalshiNo liquidity34.0%
José Fermín: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$528
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Jimmy Crooks: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$4.3K
Alec Burleson: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.9K
Seiya Suzuki: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$6.5K
Alec Burleson: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$352
KalshiNo liquidity53.0%
St. Louis CardinalsEliminated
1.0%Best · Kalshi$909.1K
PolymarketEliminated
Michael McGreevy: 3+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Michael McGreevy: 4+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Michael McGreevy: 5+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$509
Michael McGreevy: 6+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$681
Michael McGreevy: 7+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$616
Over 14.5 runs scored
1.0%Best · Kalshi$18.2K
Over 15.5 runs scored
1.0%Best · Kalshi$6.2K
Over 16.5 runs scored
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.2K
Chicago C wins by over 9.5 runs
1.0%Best · Kalshi$7.5K
Chicago C wins by over 8.5 runs
1.0%Best · Kalshi$18.9K

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This market covers Game 2 of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium, scheduled for July 28 at 7:45 PM ET. The core question is which team wins the full game, with Kalshi and Polymarket also offering a wide array of player props and totals — including strikeouts and outs recorded for starting pitchers Colin Rea (Cubs) and Michael McGreevy (Cardinals), and hit/run/RBI lines for several position players, most notably Alex Bregman. The Cubs are the clear favourite across both platforms. Kalshi prices Chicago at 67.0% to win, while Polymarket sits a touch lower at 65.0% — a slim 2-point spread that signals tight cross-platform consensus. St. Louis sits at 34.0% on Kalshi and 35.0% on Polymarket, leaving very little room between the two books. The Cubs' edge appears well-grounded in recent form: Chicago pounded out 14 hits in a 7-3 win in Game 1 of this series on Monday, with Alex Bregman and Nico Hoerner each homering and recording four hits, as the Cubs have won 26 of their last 38 games and hold a 5½-game lead as the first NL wild card. On the pitching side, Tuesday's matchup features Cardinals right-hander Michael McGreevy (4-8, 3.07 ERA) against Cubs right-hander Colin Rea (7-7, 4.85 ERA). The run-total markets lean heavily toward the over — Kalshi has over 3.5 runs at 99.0% — reflecting a high-scoring environment consistent with the series opener. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are in near-lockstep on the moneyline, making this one of the tighter cross-platform spreads in the dataset.

Updated Jul 29, 2026, 12:02 AMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

SportsBaseball