Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September — the week ending September 25, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Above -0.50 | Lost | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above -0.52 | Lost | $2.6K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above -0.54 | Lost | $4.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above -0.56 Winner | Won | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above -0.58 Winner | Won | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above -0.60 Winner | Won | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Above -0.62 Winner | Won | $15.4K | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI. This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending September 25, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
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