Chicago vs Memphis

This market covered the NBA Summer League game between the Chicago Bulls and Memphis Grizzlies, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026. Kalshi and Polymarket offered straightforward moneyline resolution — Yes if Memphis won — while Kalshi also ran spread markets and Azuro listed a broad menu of moneylines, spreads, totals and odd/even props. Total volume across platforms reached roughly $1.44 million, concentrated overwhelmingly on Kalshi's main moneyline at about $1.30 million. By the snapshot on July 12, the event was closed and Memphis was the clear favourite. Polymarket's Memphis Grizzlies outcome settled at 100.0% and Kalshi's Memphis Yes contract sat at 99.0%, with Chicago pegged at 1.0% on Kalshi and 0.1% on Polymarket. On the Kalshi spread ladder, "Memphis wins by over 15.5 points" was the highest-priced margin outcome at 19.0%, while steeper margins such as "over 18.5" traded at 1.0%, suggesting the win was expected but not by a blowout. The main cross-platform gap sits with Azuro, whose pre-close moneyline showed Memphis at 69.9% and Chicago at 34.4% — materially softer on Memphis than Kalshi and Polymarket, which had already converged on a Memphis win.