Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Guardians Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $2.6M | No liquidity41.3% | — | — | — | No liquidity99.8% | — | |
Chase DeLauter: 2+ | 3.0%Kalshi | $5.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kyle Manzardo: 2+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Travis Bazzana: 2+ | 39.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kyle Manzardo: 4+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $115 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $6.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sal Stewart: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Brayan Rocchio: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kyle Manzardo: 1+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $10.3K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Edwin Arroyo: 1+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $179 | — | — | No liquidity5.0% | — | — | — | — |
Noelvi Marte: 1+ | 5.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Petey Halpin: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gabriel Arias: 2+ | 99.0%Kalshi | $251 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 runs | 99.0%Kalshi | $41.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eugenio Suárez: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.0K | — | — | No liquidity36.0% | — | — | — | — |
Petey Halpin: 2+ | 60.0%Kalshi | $286 | — | — | No liquidity9.0% | — | — | — | — |
Eugenio Suárez: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $634 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chase DeLauter: 3+ | 50.0%Kalshi | $362 | — | — | No liquidity10.0% | — | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana: 5+ | 46.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | No liquidity89.0% | — | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Brayan Rocchio: 2+ | 11.0%Kalshi | $928 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Noelvi Marte: 2+ | 33.0%Kalshi | $462 | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dane Myers: 2+ | 32.0%Kalshi | $380 | — | — | No liquidity2.0% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio: 3+ | 31.0%Kalshi | $647 | — | — | No liquidity3.0% | — | — | — | — |
Sal Stewart: 3+ | 3.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Noelvi Marte: 3+ | 22.0%Kalshi | $523 | — | — | No liquidity18.0% | — | — | — | — |
Chase DeLauter: 4+ | 20.0%Kalshi | $253 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dane Myers: 3+ | 20.0%Kalshi | $286 | — | — | No liquidity26.0% | — | — | — | — |
Brayan Rocchio: 4+ | 18.0%Kalshi | $268 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Patrick Bailey: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $322 | — | — | No liquidity32.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dane Myers: 4+ | 13.0%Kalshi | $110 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tyler Stephenson: 4+ | 13.0%Kalshi | $146 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4+ | 10.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Brayan Rocchio: 5+ | 9.0%Kalshi | $481 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Edwin Arroyo: 2+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $183 | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — | — | — | — |
Dane Myers: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Patrick Bailey: 1+ | 2.0%Kalshi | $357 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gabriel Arias: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cincinnati Reds Eliminated | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.6M | No liquidity60.6% | — | — | — | Eliminated$1.0M | — | |
Chase DeLauter: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $8.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tyler Stephenson: 1+ | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $17.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 runs | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This is the July 29 game that is still upcoming per the snapshot (7:10 PM ET). The search confirms the July 29 matchup features Joey Cantillo (CLE, 8-6, 4.02 ERA) vs. Brady Singer (CIN, 5-9, 4.53 ERA), and shows recent series context. No further search needed. The July 29 evening game at Great American Ball Park between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds is the centrepiece of this snapshot, with markets spread across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Azuro covering everything from the moneyline to individual player props. On the moneyline — the highest-volume market at over $1.47M on Kalshi alone — the Cincinnati Reds are the narrow favourite at 52.0%, with Cleveland priced at 49.0% on both Kalshi and Polymarket. ESPN's analytics model had Cleveland listed as the moneyline favourite at -143 heading into the game, a slight divergence from the prediction markets' lean toward Cincinnati. The matchup sends Joey Cantillo (8-6, 4.02 ERA) to the mound for Cleveland against Brady Singer (5-9, 4.53 ERA) for Cincinnati, giving Cleveland a modest pitching edge by ERA that may explain lingering support for the Guardians. Context from the doubleheader on July 28 is relevant: Cleveland snapped a five-game losing streak with a 6-5 come-from-behind win in the afternoon game, while the Reds responded with a 2-0 shutout in the nightcap, with JJ Bleday hitting a solo home run and five Cincinnati pitchers combining for the win. The split likely keeps the moneyline close. Azuro prices Cincinnati at 60.6% — a notable 8–9 point premium over both Kalshi and Polymarket — representing the most meaningful cross-platform spread in this event. On Kalshi, the over/under on total runs is set at 3.5, with 68.0% implying the over, while Elly De La Cruz's hit prop sits near a coin flip at 51.0%. Overall, Kalshi and Polymarket align tightly on the moneyline, while Azuro stands as the clear outlier favouring Cincinnati.
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