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Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

Starts:Jul 29, 2026, 11:10 PMEnds:Aug 5, 2026, 11:10 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Cleveland GuardiansSettled Jul 30, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (140,236)
Total volume
$6.6M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
80
Platforms
3
Markets
21

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Cleveland GuardiansWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$2.6M
AzuroNo liquidity41.3%PolymarketNo liquidity99.8%
Chase DeLauter: 2+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$5.4K
Kyle Manzardo: 2+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.8K
Travis Bazzana: 2+
39.0%Best · Kalshi$1.1K
Kyle Manzardo: 4+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$115
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Travis Bazzana: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$6.2K
Sal Stewart: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.1K
Brayan Rocchio: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$3.7K
Kyle Manzardo: 1+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$10.3K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Edwin Arroyo: 1+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$179
KalshiNo liquidity5.0%
Noelvi Marte: 1+
5.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Petey Halpin: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Gabriel Arias: 2+
99.0%Best · Kalshi$251
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 runs
99.0%Best · Kalshi$41.4K
Eugenio Suárez: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$8.0K
KalshiNo liquidity36.0%
Petey Halpin: 2+
60.0%Best · Kalshi$286
KalshiNo liquidity9.0%
Eugenio Suárez: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$634
Chase DeLauter: 3+
50.0%Best · Kalshi$362
KalshiNo liquidity10.0%
Travis Bazzana: 5+
46.0%Best · Kalshi$1.0K
KalshiNo liquidity89.0%
Sal Stewart: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2K
Brayan Rocchio: 2+
11.0%Best · Kalshi$928
Noelvi Marte: 2+
33.0%Best · Kalshi$462
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Dane Myers: 2+
32.0%Best · Kalshi$380
KalshiNo liquidity2.0%
Brayan Rocchio: 3+
31.0%Best · Kalshi$647
KalshiNo liquidity3.0%
Sal Stewart: 3+
3.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Noelvi Marte: 3+
22.0%Best · Kalshi$523
KalshiNo liquidity18.0%
Chase DeLauter: 4+
20.0%Best · Kalshi$253
Dane Myers: 3+
20.0%Best · Kalshi$286
KalshiNo liquidity26.0%
Brayan Rocchio: 4+
18.0%Best · Kalshi$268
Patrick Bailey: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$322
KalshiNo liquidity32.0%
Dane Myers: 4+
13.0%Best · Kalshi$110
Tyler Stephenson: 4+
13.0%Best · Kalshi$146
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 4+
10.0%Best · Kalshi$100
Brayan Rocchio: 5+
9.0%Best · Kalshi$481
Ke'Bryan Hayes: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Edwin Arroyo: 2+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$183
KalshiNo liquidity1.0%
Dane Myers: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2K
Patrick Bailey: 1+
2.0%Best · Kalshi$357
Gabriel Arias: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.0K
Cincinnati RedsEliminated
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.6M
AzuroNo liquidity60.6%PolymarketEliminated
Chase DeLauter: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$8.5K
Tyler Stephenson: 1+
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 runs
1.0%Best · Kalshi$17.6K
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 runs
1.0%Best · Kalshi$3.6K

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This is the July 29 game that is still upcoming per the snapshot (7:10 PM ET). The search confirms the July 29 matchup features Joey Cantillo (CLE, 8-6, 4.02 ERA) vs. Brady Singer (CIN, 5-9, 4.53 ERA), and shows recent series context. No further search needed. The July 29 evening game at Great American Ball Park between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds is the centrepiece of this snapshot, with markets spread across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Azuro covering everything from the moneyline to individual player props. On the moneyline — the highest-volume market at over $1.47M on Kalshi alone — the Cincinnati Reds are the narrow favourite at 52.0%, with Cleveland priced at 49.0% on both Kalshi and Polymarket. ESPN's analytics model had Cleveland listed as the moneyline favourite at -143 heading into the game, a slight divergence from the prediction markets' lean toward Cincinnati. The matchup sends Joey Cantillo (8-6, 4.02 ERA) to the mound for Cleveland against Brady Singer (5-9, 4.53 ERA) for Cincinnati, giving Cleveland a modest pitching edge by ERA that may explain lingering support for the Guardians. Context from the doubleheader on July 28 is relevant: Cleveland snapped a five-game losing streak with a 6-5 come-from-behind win in the afternoon game, while the Reds responded with a 2-0 shutout in the nightcap, with JJ Bleday hitting a solo home run and five Cincinnati pitchers combining for the win. The split likely keeps the moneyline close. Azuro prices Cincinnati at 60.6% — a notable 8–9 point premium over both Kalshi and Polymarket — representing the most meaningful cross-platform spread in this event. On Kalshi, the over/under on total runs is set at 3.5, with 68.0% implying the over, while Elly De La Cruz's hit prop sits near a coin flip at 51.0%. Overall, Kalshi and Polymarket align tightly on the moneyline, while Azuro stands as the clear outlier favouring Cincinnati.

Updated Jul 30, 2026, 12:13 AMclaude-sonnet-4-6cross-platform favourite flipped

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SportsBaseball