Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez

This market covers the Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez bantamweight prelim scheduled for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 on July 11, 2026. Polymarket resolves on the official UFC winner, with draws, no contests, or cancellations beyond July 25 settling 50-50. Kalshi and Azuro list related side markets, including round-of-finish props and total-round over/unders. Adrian Yanez is the clear favourite to win, priced at 79.0% on Polymarket and 81.3% on Azuro, versus Cody Garbrandt at 22.0% on Polymarket and 25.0% on Azuro. That roughly 57-point gap on the moneyline signals a strongly one-sided matchup in the market's view, though Azuro's thin liquidity ($1 volume) tilts each fighter slightly higher than Polymarket, where the bulk of the $23.4K in volume sits. On the method and duration side, Kalshi prices the fight ending before round 3 at 46.0% and before round 2 at 30.0%, while Azuro's over 1.5 rounds sits at 67.6% and over 2.5 at 50.5%, pointing to a market that leans toward the fight going past the first round but remaining competitive on whether it reaches the third. Cross-platform pricing is broadly aligned on Yanez as a heavy favourite, with only minor differences between Polymarket and Azuro on the headline outcome.