Colby vs Johnson

Colby vs Johnson is a professional tennis match scheduled around the 2026 ATP Challenger Lexington Qualification Final, pitting Ryan Colby against Spencer Johnson. On Kalshi, the market resolves Yes if Ryan Colby wins after a ball has been played; if the match is cancelled before it begins for any reason, the market resolves to a fair price under Kalshi's rules. Kalshi holds essentially all of the roughly $1.37M in volume, while Azuro also lists the matchup but shows no traded volume or liquidity. Spencer Johnson is the clear favourite. Kalshi implies a 72.0% chance he wins, versus 29.0% for Colby. Azuro leans even more heavily toward Johnson at 91.7%, with Colby at just 14.4%. That gap — roughly 19.7 points on the Johnson line and about 14.6 points on Colby — is the most notable cross-platform spread here, though Azuro's zero liquidity means its quotes are indicative rather than actively traded. Azuro also offers a wide range of ancillary markets (game totals, handicaps, odd/even), but none carry a cross-platform consensus. The takeaway: both venues agree Johnson is favoured, but Kalshi's actively traded price of 72.0% is materially less lopsided than Azuro's untraded 91.7%.