College Football Playoff Qualifiers — 2026-27
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Notre Dame Favorite | 84.0%Polymarket US | $26.9K | — | — | — | |||
Miami (FL) | 84.0%Gemini | $22.8K | — | — | — | — | ||
Miami | 84.0%Polymarket US | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Georgia | 77.0%Gemini | $21.7K | — | — | — | |||
Indiana | 75.0%Polymarket US | $20.6K | — | — | — | |||
Ohio State Buckeyes | 73.0%Gemini | $27.5K | — | — | — | |||
Texas | 70.0%Kalshi | $37.7K | — | — | — | |||
Texas Tech | 56.0%Gemini | $32.7K | — | — | — | |||
Ole Miss | 54.0%Gemini | $30.4K | — | — | — | |||
LSU | 40.0%Kalshi | $907.4K | — | — | — | |||
Alabama | 39.0%Polymarket US | $46.0K | — | — | — | |||
Penn State Nittany Lions | 37.0%Gemini | $88.4K | — | — | — | |||
Oregon | 36.0%Gemini | $14.4K | — | — | — | |||
USC | 33.0%Polymarket US | $68.6K | — | — | — | |||
Florida | 35.0%Polymarket US | $23.3K | — | — | — | |||
BYU | 29.0%Gemini | $19.3K | — | — | — | |||
Utah | 31.0%Polymarket US | $34.6K | — | — | — | |||
Tennessee | 28.0%Gemini | $5.0K | — | — | — | |||
Louisville | 23.0%Polymarket US | $11.9K | — | — | — | |||
Michigan | 20.0%Kalshi | $64.1K | — | — | — | |||
Iowa | 18.0%Polymarket US | $16.2K | — | — | — | |||
James Madison | 19.0%Kalshi | $1.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Mississippi St. | 28.0%Kalshi | $953 | — | — | — | — | — | |
UCLA | 21.0%Polymarket US | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Oklahoma | 13.0%Gemini | $63.1K | — | — | — | |||
Houston | 13.0%Kalshi | $7.9K | — | — | — | |||
Missouri | 13.0%Polymarket US | $5.3K | — | — | — | |||
Kansas State Wildcats | 15.0%Polymarket US | $8.4K | — | — | — | |||
SMU | 14.0%Polymarket US | $21.7K | — | — | — | |||
Virginia Tech | 13.0%Polymarket US | $19.7K | — | — | — | |||
Pittsburgh | 9.0%Polymarket US | $1.9K | — | — | — | |||
Texas A&M | 10.0%Kalshi | $30.7K | — | — | — | |||
Oklahoma State Cowboys | 7.0%Polymarket US | $30.6K | — | — | — | |||
Kentucky Widest spread 10.0% | 4.0%Gemini | $4.0K | — | — | — | |||
Arizona State Sun Devils | 8.0%Polymarket US | $3.0K | — | — | — | |||
Washington | 7.0%Gemini | $9.0K | — | — | — | |||
Auburn | 6.0%Gemini | $13.6K | — | — | — | |||
Virginia | 6.0%Polymarket US | $39.3K | — | — | — | |||
South Carolina | 4.0%Polymarket US | $170.9K | — | — | — | |||
TCU | 5.0%Polymarket US | $5.9K | — | — | — | |||
Vanderbilt | 2.0%Polymarket US | $2.7K | — | — | — | |||
Florida State Seminoles | 4.0%Gemini | $9.0K | — | — | — | |||
North Texas | 5.0%Gemini | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Arizona | 4.0%Gemini | $8.1K | — | — | — | |||
Baylor | 5.0%Gemini | $1.4K | — | — | — | |||
Illinois | 3.0%Polymarket US | $5.2K | — | — | — | |||
North Carolina St. | 3.0%Kalshi | $2.5K | — | — | — | — | ||
Miami (OH) | 2.0%Polymarket US | $1.7K | — | — | — | |||
Clemson | 4.0%Kalshi | $12.4K | — | — | — | |||
Georgia Tech | 4.0%Polymarket US | $8.6K | — | — | — | |||
California | 3.0%Gemini | $12.7K | — | — | — | |||
Wisconsin | 4.0%Polymarket US | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tulane | 2.0%Polymarket US | $4.2K | — | — | — | |||
Arkansas | 2.0%Polymarket US | $3.2K | — | — | — | |||
Kansas | 2.0%Polymarket US | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.
This market covers which teams qualify for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, with each team listed as an independent Yes/No outcome. It is live on Kalshi, which holds essentially all of the $1.45M in volume, with a parallel Polymarket US book carrying no recorded volume at snapshot time. Kalshi notes it is not affiliated with the NCAA. Notre Dame leads the field at a consensus 83.5%, followed by a tight cluster of Oregon (73.5%), Ohio St. (73.0%) and Miami (FL) (72.0%), then Indiana (69.5%), Texas Tech (68.5%) and Georgia (68.0%). The gap between Notre Dame and the next tier is roughly ten points, signalling markets view the Fighting Irish as the clearest lock among the favourites rather than a runaway leader. LSU (41.0%), Oklahoma (39.0%) and Alabama (37.5%) sit on the bubble. The striking feature is the cross-platform spread: Kalshi prices Notre Dame at 86.0% versus just 31.0% on Polymarket US, a 54.5-point gap, with similar 40–50 point gaps on Indiana, Texas Tech, Oregon and Georgia. Given Polymarket US shows zero volume, those quotes likely reflect stale or thin books rather than genuine disagreement. The takeaway: Kalshi is effectively setting the consensus here, with Notre Dame the clear favourite and a dense pack of contenders behind.
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