Colorado Senate primary margin of victory? — On Jun 30, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Hickenlooper, ≥3% Winner | 99.0%Kalshi | $241.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥6% | 1.0%Kalshi | $136.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥9% | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.1M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥12% | 1.0%Kalshi | $12.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥15% | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥18% | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥21% | 1.0%Kalshi | $5.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥24% | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥27% | 1.0%Kalshi | $4.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Hickenlooper, ≥30% | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the margin of victory for John Hickenlooper in the 2026 Colorado Senate primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Hickenlooper minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Hickenlooper if John Hickenlooper wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Hickenlooper loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper wins, or the electoral votes received by John Hickenlooper minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Hickenlooper does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Hickenlooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural John Hickenlooper will be summed. If John Hickenlooper wins the election, the margin will be positive. If John Hickenlooper loses the election, the margin will be negative. If John Hickenlooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where John Hickenlooper is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
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