Colorado vs Atlanta

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Colorado Rockies and Atlanta Braves, originally scheduled for August 30 at 1:35 PM ET. The core moneyline resolves to whichever team wins; postponed games stay open, and a cancellation or tie resolves 50-50 on Polymarket. Alongside the winner market, Kalshi lists a deep menu of derivatives — total runs, spreads, first-3/5/7-inning segments, team totals, and player props for hits, home runs, RBIs, stolen bases, and Tyler Mahle strikeouts — with the moneyline itself carrying the bulk of the roughly $3.45M in combined volume. Atlanta is the consensus favourite at 72.0%, with Colorado at 30.0% on the aggregated view. The pricing on the Braves varies materially by venue: Kalshi has them at 72.0% and Azuro at 69.0%, while Polymarket (99.9%), Polymarket US (99.0%) and Gemini (99.0%) show near-certainty. Colorado mirrors the split — 29.0% on Kalshi and 33.7% on Azuro versus 0.1–2.0% on Polymarket and Gemini. Azuro additionally prices a Draw outcome at 11.2%. Kalshi and Azuro price this as a clear but not overwhelming Atlanta edge, while the Polymarket and Gemini quotes read closer to a settled market — a spread worth noting when comparing implied probabilities across platforms.