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Settled

Contra vs Fuego

Starts:Jul 11, 2026, 10:00 PMEnds:Jul 12, 2026, 10:15 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:ContraSettled Jul 12, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (140,236)
Total volume
$325.0K
Largest spread
0.5%
Outcomes
2
Platforms
3
Markets
10

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

ContraWinner
50.0%Best · Limitless$192.1K
Fuego
0.5%Best · Polymarket$148.1K

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

This market covers the VCL Latin America North: 2026 Valorant match between Contra and Fuego, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026. A "Yes" resolution on Kalshi's contract pays out if Contra wins the match. Both Kalshi and Limitless are listing the fixture, though activity is thin, with total volume around $94 concentrated on Kalshi and Limitless showing no volume or liquidity at snapshot time. The cross-platform consensus splits the match evenly, with Contra and Fuego each sitting at 50.0%. That parity is driven entirely by Limitless, which prices both sides at 50.0%. Kalshi, by contrast, diverges sharply: it implies just 33.0% for Contra and 70.0% for Fuego, making Fuego the clear favourite on that venue. The two Kalshi legs sum above 100%, reflecting orderbook spread rather than a coherent probability. Nominally, Contra is the consensus co-favourite at 50.0%, but only because Limitless offers a flat market. The notable gap is on Fuego, where Kalshi's 70.0% sits 20 points above Limitless's 50.0%. The cross-platform takeaway: Limitless treats the match as a coin flip, while Kalshi leans firmly toward Fuego.

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 3:48 PMclaude-opus-4-7new platform listed this event

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Category

Sports
Esports