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Settled

Denmark vs Portugal

Starts:Oct 1, 2026, 6:45 PMEnds:Oct 4, 2026, 3:45 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:PortugalSettled Oct 1, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (142,143)
Total volume
$10.7M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
3
Platforms
6
Markets
536

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

DenmarkEliminated
Polymarket USEliminated
PortugalWinner
Polymarket USNo liquidity99.0%
DrawEliminated
Polymarket USEliminated

Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

Denmark host Portugal in a UEFA Nations League fixture scheduled for October 1, 2026, and the match is listed across every major prediction venue: Polymarket, Polymarket US, Kalshi, Novig, Azuro, Limitless and (via related corner and score markets) a sprawling set of side bets. The headline market is the three-way result over 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with Denmark, Draw and Portugal as the outcomes; adjacent markets cover halftime result, exact score, spreads, team totals, corners and first team to score. Portugal is the narrow favourite on the moneyline at a consensus 48.5%, with Azuro the high mark at 50.2% and Novig the low at 48.5%; Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Limitless cluster in between. Denmark sits at 25.5% consensus (Azuro 28.1% high, Polymarket 25.5% low) and the Draw at 25.5% (Azuro 27.7% high, Polymarket 25.5% low). Supporting markets are consistent with a tight, low-scoring game: Over 2.5 goals trades around 57.5% on Kalshi, Portugal to score over 0.5 goals at 84.0%, and Portugal −1.5 at roughly 25.5%. Cross-platform pricing is remarkably tight on the main outcomes, with Azuro consistently a touch higher on all three sides than the order-book venues.

Updated Oct 1, 2026, 5:23 PMclaude-opus-4-7new platform listed this event

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