Derepasko vs Milosavljevic

This market covers a first-round ITF/M15 men's tennis match in Kursumlijska Banja between Timofei Derepasko and Marko Milosavljevic, originally scheduled for 8 July 2026. On Polymarket, a straight winner market resolves to whichever player advances, with 50-50 fallbacks for cancellations or walkovers. Kalshi's version resolves Yes if Derepasko wins after a ball has been played, with similar handling for withdrawals. Companion markets on Polymarket also cover match total games (over/under 2.5) and set-level outcomes. Marko Milosavljevic is the overwhelming favourite. Kalshi implies a 99.0% chance he wins, while Polymarket's head-to-head has him at 99.9%, giving a cross-platform consensus of roughly 99.5% and pricing Derepasko at just 1.0% on Kalshi and 0.4% on Polymarket. The Over 2.5 games line trades at 99.5% on Polymarket, consistent with a match simply being played to completion. Kalshi carries essentially all the traded volume, with about $53.2k in notional versus under $1k on Polymarket. Cross-platform pricing is tightly aligned, with only a sub-one-point spread on the Derepasko side and no meaningful disagreement on Milosavljevic as the near-certain favourite.