Detroit vs Buffalo

This is a live, in-progress NFL Week 2 game between the Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills, played on Thursday Night Football on September 17, 2026. The event is listed exclusively on Kalshi and Gemini, spanning dozens of prop and game markets — from moneyline and spread to individual player yardage, touchdown scorers, and quarter-by-quarter results. The market snapshot was taken mid-game, which explains the extreme clustering of outcomes at 99.0% (already resolved or near-certain). Buffalo is the overwhelming favourite across the board at 94.0% to win outright on Gemini, with Kalshi's spread markets pricing the Bills as heavy favourites to cover comfortably — "Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points" stands at 93.5% consensus, and the margin extends to 60.5% for a 13.5-point win. Buffalo opened the season by scoring 36 points against the Texans, with Josh Allen totalling four touchdowns and 334 passing yards in Week 1. Both teams entered this Thursday night showdown undefeated, with the Bills debuting their new Highmark Stadium for their first regular-season home game. Buffalo defensive tackle Ed Oliver was a surprise inactive for the game, a notable absence on their defensive line. The first score at Highmark Stadium came via a Josh Allen one-yard TD run, capping an 85-yard, 10-play drive in which Allen rushed four times for 40 yards. Detroit's case for catching up is complicated by an ugly Week 1 performance in which the Lions blew a 21-0 lead and needed overtime to beat the Saints. With all markets concentrated on Kalshi and Gemini and zero cross-platform spread, there is no arbitrage opportunity — both platforms are pricing Buffalo's dominance in lockstep.