BETCRYPTO
Settled

Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

Starts:Aug 13, 2026, 6:16 PMEnds:Oct 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:NoSettled Oct 3, 2026
Tech & Science favorite hit rate90.4% (13,315)
Total volume
$359
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NoWinner
PolymarketNo liquidity87.5%
YesNo liquidity
PolymarketNo liquidity12.6%

Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026. A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html. A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak. A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation — not the date of exposure, onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities, including CDC and the World Health Organization (WHO); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Category

Tech & Science