European Parliament election winner? — in 2029
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPP Favorite | 74.0%Kalshi | $402 | — | — | — | — | — | |
S&D | 8.0%Kalshi | $613 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Patriots for Europe | 7.0%Kalshi | $613 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Renew Europe | 7.0%Kalshi | $994 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Greens/EFA | 7.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
The Left | 7.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
ECR | 3.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
ESN | 4.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament. Non-attached Members do not count toward any group. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
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