Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

This market is a tiered set of contracts asking whether Extended's token, if launched by December 31, 2026, will have a Fully Diluted Valuation above various threshold levels one day after launch (measured at 4:00 PM ET the calendar day following launch). Each threshold has its own Yes/No pair, with resolution based on total supply multiplied by the token price from the most liquid source. If no launch occurs by the deadline, all tiers resolve No. A related Limitless contract poses the same question for a Metamask token at a $2B threshold. Across the Polymarket ladder, No probabilities decline as thresholds rise: the lowest tiers price No between 98.6% and 96.8%, mid-range tiers show No at 93.0% and 79.5%, and one tier flips to a Yes favourite at 73.0%. Higher tiers then swing back toward No, reaching 58.0% No versus 42.0% Yes at the current pivot, before Yes probabilities fade to 20.5%, 7.0%, 3.6%, 2.2% and 1.1% at the top end. The Limitless Metamask $2B contract sits at 94.1% No and 5.7% Yes. The nearest-to-even tier favours No at 58.0%, a 16-point edge over Yes. Cross-platform spreads are effectively zero, since each tier is quoted on a single venue.