Live
Fed decision in Jan 2028? — On Jan 26, 2028
Starts:Oct 6, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds:Jan 26, 2028, 6:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$7.9K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
5
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed maintains rate Favorite | 70.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hike >25bps | 19.0%Kalshi | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hike 25bps | 20.0%Kalshi | $638 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cut 25bps | 17.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cut >25bps | 14.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fed maintains rateFavorite
70.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Hike >25bps
19.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
Hike 25bps
20.0%Best · Kalshi$638
Cut 25bps
17.0%Best · Kalshi$1.1K
Cut >25bps
14.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
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