Settled
Fed decision in Sep 2026? — On Sep 16, 2026
Starts:Sep 29, 2025, 2:00 PMEnds:Sep 16, 2026, 5:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$103.2M
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
5
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hike 25bps Winner | 88.0%Kalshi | $18.8M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fed maintains rate | 12.0%Kalshi | $48.3M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cut >25bps | 1.0%Kalshi | $2.4M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hike >25bps | 1.0%Kalshi | $19.9M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cut 25bps | 1.0%Kalshi | $13.8M | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hike 25bpsWinner
88.0%Best · Kalshi$18.8M
Fed maintains rate
12.0%Best · Kalshi$48.3M
Cut >25bps
1.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4M
Hike >25bps
1.0%Best · Kalshi$19.9M
Cut 25bps
1.0%Best · Kalshi$13.8M
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
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