Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel

This market covers a Swedish Open qualification-round tennis match between Federico Coria and Taro Daniel, scheduled for July 12, 2026. Polymarket resolves the headline market to whichever player advances, with tie, cancellation, or walkover scenarios splitting 50-50, using ATP Tour information as the primary source. Alongside the moneyline, both Polymarket and Azuro list a range of side markets covering game totals, set handicaps, and alternative spreads. Daniel is the clear favourite to advance. Polymarket implies a 70.5% chance he wins the match, while Azuro prices him slightly shorter at 75.2% — a spread of roughly 4.7 points on the same outcome. Coria sits at 29.5% on Polymarket versus 33.2% on Azuro. On the totals side, Under 2.5 sets is favoured at 63.5% on Polymarket and 68.5% on Azuro, consistent with the market's expectation of a straightforward Daniel win. Liquidity is concentrated on Polymarket ($40,496 posted, $729 traded), while Azuro shows no recorded volume despite offering the widest menu of derivative lines. The cross-platform takeaway: both venues agree Daniel is a solid favourite, but Azuro consistently prices him a few points shorter than Polymarket across the main and derived markets.